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Economy: Recession or Not Recession, That’s the Question

Recession or Not Recession, That’s the Question Does it matter if we call it a recession or not? That’s a good question.  Though there is no global consensus on the definition of a recession, two cons...

Global Affairs: Dragon’s Next Move

July 11, 2022, 10:55 am EDT Dragon’s Next Move This article is to continue our last article about Sri Lanka’s bankruptcy. One of the reasons that caused Sri Lanka’s collapse was related to the belt-an...

Global News: More Chaotic Events

July 10, 2022, 2:24 am EDT More Chaotic Events (Featured Picture: Sigiriya, Sri Lanka) After two years of COVID-19 and 4 months of Russia-Ukraine, we only know that there were more chaotic events arri...

Economy: Inverted Yield Curve 

July 7, 2022, 11:48 pm EDT Inverted Yield Curve  An inverted yield curve means that the rates of 10-Year Treasury minus 2-Year Treasury (T10Y2Y) become negative as shown. Usually, it hints coming rece...

Commodity: Key Levels for Crude Oil Prices

July 5, 2022, 8:07 pm EDT Key Levels for Crude Oil Prices Crude oil prices are important to watch because it determines the intensity of inflation and the activity of the economy.  There are three key...

Crucial Moment for the Q2 Earnings

July 4, 2022, 10:42 pm EDT Crucial Moment for the Q2 Earnings The crucial moment for the Q2 earnings season will determine the stock market’s next move.  It will be helpful to point out the dire...

Industries: Breakdown and New Lows in Three Industries

June 29, 2022, 11:49 am EDT Breakdown and New Lows in Three Industries There are many breakdowns and new lows in the first half of 2022. But, we focus on three industries that represent the big troubl...

Current Events: Energy and Wars

June 28, 2022, 11:43 am EDT Energy and Wars There is a strong correlation between energy prices and wars. The most obvious example is the recent war between Russia and Ukraine. The war pushed up crude...

Economy: Recession Possibility

June 22, 2022, 11:04 pm EDT Recession Possibility “Recession possibility” is the price to quench inflation as Fed chairman Jerome Powell mentioned today. In fact, we think the recession is not a possi...